Ural vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ural v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals
Ural vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Ural
RUS
2-0
HT 0-0
Ural
RUS
0-4
HT 0-0
Zenit St. Petersburg
RUS
3-1
HT 2-0
Ural
RUS
0-0
HT 0-0
Zenit St. Petersburg
RUS
Ural 1-4 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics
Zenit St. Petersburg ran out comfortable winners over Ural 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Ural had 34% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 66%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.12 to 1.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Ural and 2.33 for Zenit St. Petersburg.
What was the final score of Ural vs Zenit St. Petersburg?
Ural 1-4 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ural vs Zenit St. Petersburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ural 28%, draw 30%, Zenit St. Petersburg 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.