Dinamo Moscow 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
20%
2.92
6+ Goals
8%
8.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.47 — our 29% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
21%
4.6
X/2
12%
7.74
X/X
12%
5.51
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
10%
5.21
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.61/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.49
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
21.3 Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 0.91
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 Passes 233
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
14.05.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
23.11.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
02.10.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
13.09.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
15.04.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.76 xG 1.17
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
501 Passes 259
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow beat FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 63% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 37%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.76 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.50 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Dinamo Moscow 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 47%, draw 24%, FC Akhmat Grozny 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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