Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jan 2024

Zenit St. Petersburg
1-0
Ural
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Ural Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
31%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.7
2-3 Goals
35%
2.01
4-5 Goals
30%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
5.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.88
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
14%
4.07
X/2
12%
11.4
X/X
12%
6.85
2/1
10%
19.25
2/2
11%
7.61
2/X
6%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-16.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+12.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.7pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Ural — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 21%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
3.15/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+57% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards –

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Ural Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ural
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.50 xG 0.66
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
498 Passes 296
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 HT 3-0 Ural Ural RUS
01.04.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
28.08.2022 Ural Ural 0-4 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
16.04.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 2-0 Ural Ural RUS
07.11.2021 Ural Ural 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
05.12.2020 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-1 HT 4-0 Ural Ural RUS

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Ural — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-0
AWAY Ural
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg edged past Ural 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 63% of the ball to Ural's 37%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.33 for Ural.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Ural?

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Ural in the Friendlies on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 45%, draw 24%, Ural 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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