Krylya Sovetov 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.43
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 34% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.45
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
16%
4.94
X/2
9%
6.02
X/X
12%
4.09
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
16%
4.56
2/X
10%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.44/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.31
+32% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
15.9 Crosses 13.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.04 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 269
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
10.05.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
04.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
30.08.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
22.07.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
19.03.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2-1
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.58 xG 2.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
337 Passes 174
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
13 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov squeezed past FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and on the day Krylya Sovetov made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 62% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 38%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.58 to 2.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Akhmat Grozny.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.83 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Krylya Sovetov 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 40%, draw 29%, FC Akhmat Grozny 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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