Detroit City 1-0 Sporting JAX — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 11 Apr 2026

Detroit City
1-0 HT 1-0
Sporting JAX
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2026

Detroit City vs Sporting JAX Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 30% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Detroit City v Sporting JAX — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting JAX EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.38/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.07
+3% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
17.1 Crosses 12.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Detroit City 1-0 Sporting JAX — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
1-0
AWAY Sporting JAX
2.75 xG 0.53
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
381 Passes 174
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Sporting JAX
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City squeezed past Sporting JAX 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Detroit City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Detroit City had 63% of the ball to Sporting JAX's 37%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.75 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Detroit City's control.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Sporting JAX?

Detroit City 1-0 Sporting JAX in the USL Championship on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Sporting JAX?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 56%, draw 22%, Sporting JAX 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Detroit City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Detroit City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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