Beijing Guoan 3-2 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
24.0
X/1
17%
3.41
X/2
7%
21.45
X/X
9%
8.1
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
6%
16.9
2/X
8%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-15.3pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.2pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.01/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.91
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +17%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.3 Crosses 13.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 0.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
372 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 3-1 HT 3-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
15.04.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
07.07.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
17.06.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 2-2 HT 1-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
3-2
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.36 xG 1.21
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
499 Passes 200
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
39 Box Touches 12
36 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan nicked a narrow win over Meizhou Hakka 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 68% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 32%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.36 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Meizhou Hakka led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.50 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka?

Beijing Guoan 3-2 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 59%, draw 23%, Meizhou Hakka 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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