Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.4
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
10%
7.75
X/2
16%
4.23
X/X
17%
3.91
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.71
2/X
4%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
Crosses 23.9
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.97 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
375 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-1 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
09.06.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
08.04.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-0 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
07.01.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-3 HT 0-2 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
04.01.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-1 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNK
09.12.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1-2
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.55 xG 1.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
426 Passes 304
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan nicked a narrow win over Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 57% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 43%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.55 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.67 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan?

Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 28%, draw 28%, Shandong Taishan 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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