Banik Ostrava 0-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 23%
-17% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -22%
1.82/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.68
+1% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
445 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 67%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 1.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
355 Passes 323
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-3 HT 1-3 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
02.09.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
22.04.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
29.10.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 3-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
06.02.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-3 HT 1-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
28.08.2021 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
0-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.82 xG 0.67
72% Ball Possession 28%
23 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
428 Passes 111
80% Pass Accuracy 54%
45 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav squeezed past Banik Ostrava 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Banik Ostrava at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 72% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 28%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 1.82 to 0.67 — on chances, Banik Ostrava could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Banik Ostrava and 0.83 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav?

Banik Ostrava 0-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 45%, draw 25%, Mlada Boleslav 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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