Inverness CT 1-0 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.1
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.4
X/1
16%
3.75
X/2
10%
9.09
X/X
15%
6.44
2/1
5%
20.35
2/2
8%
6.81
2/X
8%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.8pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Montrose
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
07.05.2024 Montrose Montrose 0-0 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
25.07.2009 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İKCK
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT squeezed past Montrose 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inverness CT as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Inverness CT and 0.50 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Montrose?

Inverness CT 1-0 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 46%, draw 28%, Montrose 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inverness CT), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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