East Kilbride 2-2 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.02
6+ Goals
9%
9.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 27% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Kilbride EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Kilbride
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stranraer
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.07.2021 Stranraer Stranraer 1-0 HT 1-0 East Kilbride East Kilbride İKLK
POST-MATCH East Kilbride vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Kilbride and Stranraer shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was East Kilbride at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of East Kilbride vs Stranraer?

East Kilbride 2-2 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Kilbride vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Kilbride win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split East Kilbride 45%, draw 26%, Stranraer 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (East Kilbride) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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