Peterhead 1-5 Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.8
Over 2.5
36%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.14
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.74
6+ Goals
6%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 35% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.9pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterhead EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartans EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +15%
1.41/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.00
-1% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterhead
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
07.05.2024 Spartans Spartans 2-1 HT 1-1 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
27.04.2024 Spartans Spartans 2-2 HT 1-1 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
06.01.2024 Peterhead Peterhead 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
18.11.2023 Spartans Spartans 1-2 HT 0-1 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
26.08.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
26.07.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartans Spartans İKLK
POST-MATCH Peterhead vs Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartans swept aside Peterhead 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Spartans made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartans led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Peterhead and 1.50 for Spartans.

What was the final score of Peterhead vs Spartans?

Peterhead 1-5 Spartans in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterhead vs Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Peterhead 34%, draw 29%, Spartans 37%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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