AIK 1-3 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 11 May 2024

AIK
1-3 HT 0-1
IK Sirius
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

AIK vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 32% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.29
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
15%
3.88
X/2
9%
8.62
X/X
12%
5.15
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
9%
6.83
2/X
6%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AIK v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.47/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.40
-3% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.2 Crosses 15.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

AIK vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
3W-3D-0L
AWAY IK Sirius
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.92 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
392 Passes 402
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
29.04.2023 AIK AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
02.10.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
21.05.2022 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 2-2 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
04.12.2021 AIK AIK 4-2 HT 2-2 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
16.08.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ

AIK 1-3 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
1-3
AWAY IK Sirius
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
POST-MATCH AIK vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius beat AIK 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AIK at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AIK had 61% of the ball to IK Sirius's 39%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AIK and 0.83 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of AIK vs IK Sirius?

AIK 1-3 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AIK 48%, draw 25%, IK Sirius 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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