GAIS 2-0 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 11 May 2024

GAIS
2-0 HT 2-0
Vasteras SK FK
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

GAIS vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.16
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
14%
5.0
X/2
13%
6.26
X/X
10%
4.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.32
2/X
7%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

GAIS v Vasteras SK FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-77% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

GAIS vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 2-1 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
24.07.2023 GAIS GAIS 0-2 HT 0-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
05.10.2021 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 3-0 HT 2-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
17.04.2021 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
06.03.2021 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 3-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
21.09.2020 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 1-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2

GAIS 2-0 Vasteras SK FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
2-0
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
1.03 xG 1.90
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
199 Passes 535
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS beat Vasteras SK FK 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; GAIS found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GAIS had 32% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 68%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.03 to 1.90 — on chances, Vasteras SK FK could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasteras SK FK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for GAIS and 1.67 for Vasteras SK FK.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Vasteras SK FK?

GAIS 2-0 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split GAIS 39%, draw 25%, Vasteras SK FK 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GAIS) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GAIS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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