Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 Slutsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 11 May 2024

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1-0 HT 1-0
Slutsk
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slutsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 33% vs market 30.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk v Slutsk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Slutsk EU Bookmakers 33%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -1%
1.13/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.31
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 174 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 Slutsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1-0
AWAY Slutsk
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slutsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk nicked a narrow win over Slutsk 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 46% of the ball to Slutsk's 54%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slutsk?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 Slutsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slutsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 36%, draw 29%, Slutsk 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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