Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-3 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 49%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +3%
0.30/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.56
-76% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +89%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
215 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk
2W-0D-4L
AWAY BATE Borisov
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 3-0 HT 1-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
06.07.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-0 HT 1-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
28.08.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-2 HT 0-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
16.04.2022 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0-1 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
05.03.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-0 HT 0-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BRUSK
18.09.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-0 HT 0-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1-3
AWAY BATE Borisov
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov got the better of Shakhtyor Soligorsk 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day BATE Borisov made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shakhtyor Soligorsk had 44% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 56%, shots finished 6-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shakhtyor Soligorsk and 0.83 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs BATE Borisov?

Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-3 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shakhtyor Soligorsk 32%, draw 28%, BATE Borisov 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BATE Borisov) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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