Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-12.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 18%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.36/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.52
+104% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3W-1D-0L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
10.12.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
13.08.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
20.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 HT 1-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
30.04.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3-1
AWAY CSKA Sofia
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad saw off CSKA Sofia 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 48% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 52%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.50 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 51%, draw 25%, CSKA Sofia 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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