Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Cumbaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Cumbaya EU Bookmakers 19%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.74/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.31
+28% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
19.3 Crosses 11.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Cumbaya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.06 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 Passes 237
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
21.03.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 HT 0-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
17.09.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 1-1 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
02.05.2022 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2-1
AWAY Cumbaya
1.74 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
366 Passes 295
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Cumbaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca squeezed past Cumbaya 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Cuenca as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 54% of the ball to Cumbaya's 46%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.74 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 0.50 for Cumbaya.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Cumbaya?

Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Cumbaya in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Cumbaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 54%, draw 26%, Cumbaya 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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