Macara 0-0 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 May 2024

Macara
0-0 HT 0-0
Mushuc Runa
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Macara vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Macara v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.38/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.35
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.4 Crosses 19.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.9

Macara vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 1.30
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
264 Passes 230
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.09.2022 Macara Macara 3-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
21.04.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
21.08.2021 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
20.03.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
06.11.2020 Macara Macara 0-3 HT 0-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
14.03.2020 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1

Macara 0-0 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
0-0
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.04 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
196 Passes 166
63% Pass Accuracy 61%
25 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Macara vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara and Mushuc Runa fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Macara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Macara had 51% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 49%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.04 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Macara and 1.00 for Mushuc Runa.

What was the final score of Macara vs Mushuc Runa?

Macara 0-0 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Macara 43%, draw 28%, Mushuc Runa 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Macara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5
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