Hassania Agadir 2-4 Raja Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 11 May 2024

Hassania Agadir
2-4 HT 1-3
Raja Casablanca
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Morocco - Cup – 2023/2024

Hassania Agadir vs Raja Casablanca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.52
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hassania Agadir v Raja Casablanca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hassania Agadir EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 54%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-33% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
214 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hassania Agadir vs Raja Casablanca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hassania Agadir
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Raja Casablanca
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.02.2024 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-0 HT 1-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
01.10.2023 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 1-1 HT 1-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
13.04.2023 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FASK
12.03.2023 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 2-1 HT 1-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
19.10.2022 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
25.06.2022 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 2-3 HT 0-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
POST-MATCH Hassania Agadir vs Raja Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca saw off Hassania Agadir 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hassania Agadir and 1.33 for Raja Casablanca.

What was the final score of Hassania Agadir vs Raja Casablanca?

Hassania Agadir 2-4 Raja Casablanca in the Morocco - Cup on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hassania Agadir vs Raja Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hassania Agadir 22%, draw 31%, Raja Casablanca 47%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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