Moghreb Tetouan 2-4 Maghreb Fes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.77
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
0.09/0.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-94% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Maghreb Fes
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-2 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
25.08.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 2-1 HT 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
28.01.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-1 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
03.09.2022 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
26.06.2021 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
07.05.2021 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
2-4
AWAY Maghreb Fes
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Moghreb Tetouan vs Maghreb Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maghreb Fes got the better of Moghreb Tetouan 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Maghreb Fes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Moghreb Tetouan had 54% of the ball to Maghreb Fes's 46%, shots finished 23-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maghreb Fes led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Moghreb Tetouan and 0.83 for Maghreb Fes.

What was the final score of Moghreb Tetouan vs Maghreb Fes?

Moghreb Tetouan 2-4 Maghreb Fes in the Morocco - Cup on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moghreb Tetouan vs Maghreb Fes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moghreb Tetouan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Moghreb Tetouan 38%, draw 33%, Maghreb Fes 28%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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