Suwon Bluewings 0-1 Cheonan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.36
-10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
0-1
AWAY Cheonan City
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Cheonan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City squeezed past Suwon Bluewings 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon Bluewings at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 65% of the ball to Cheonan City's 35%, shots finished 20-6.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Cheonan City?

Suwon Bluewings 0-1 Cheonan City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Cheonan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 48%, draw 27%, Cheonan City 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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