Vukovar 3-1 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
25.02.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-1 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
3-1
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar got the better of Dubrava Zagreb 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Vukovar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vukovar had 49% of the ball to Dubrava Zagreb's 51%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Vukovar 3-1 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 38%, draw 27%, Dubrava Zagreb 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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