Dugopolje 1-2 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 32%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
1.35/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-9% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +119% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
0W-0D-1L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.03.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 2-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dugopolje
1-2
AWAY HNK Cibalia
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia nicked a narrow win over Dugopolje 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dugopolje at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Dugopolje had 51% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 49%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia?

Dugopolje 1-2 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dugopolje win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 42%, draw 34%, HNK Cibalia 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dugopolje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dugopolje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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