Reading U21 3-1 Nottingham Forest U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.89
Over 2.5
52%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
31%
+17.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
69%
-17.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.7pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
2.08/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.08
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +88%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
473 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading U21
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.04.2024 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Reading U21 Reading U21 INGPL2-1
22.04.2024 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 0-0 HT 0-2 Reading U21 Reading U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading U21
3-1
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
1.98 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
334 Passes 336
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reading U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading U21 got the better of Nottingham Forest U21 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Reading U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Reading U21 had 52% of the ball to Nottingham Forest U21's 48%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.98 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Reading U21 and 0.00 for Nottingham Forest U21.

What was the final score of Reading U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Reading U21 3-1 Nottingham Forest U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Reading U21 38%, draw 27%, Nottingham Forest U21 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reading U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Reading U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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