Shimizu S-Pulse 4-0 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.3pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.16/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/3.19
+6% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
4-0
AWAY Kagoshima United
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse cruised past Kagoshima United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 53% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 47%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kagoshima United?

Shimizu S-Pulse 4-0 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J2 League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 58%, draw 20%, Kagoshima United 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Over 2.5
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