Al Arabi 1-0 Al Salmiyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
5.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
9%
7.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.04 — our 26% vs market 15.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-10.6pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.2pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 15%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.84/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.57
+17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Salmiyah
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
21.12.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
25.08.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
28.05.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 3-6 HT 1-5 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
24.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
06.02.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUVPK
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Salmiyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi edged past Al Salmiyah 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Al Arabi and 1.33 for Al Salmiyah.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Salmiyah?

Al Arabi 1-0 Al Salmiyah in the Kuwait - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Salmiyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 59%, draw 23%, Al Salmiyah 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ BTTS No
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