Riga FC II 2-1 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Riga FC II vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC II squeezed past Leevon / PPK 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Riga FC II vs Leevon / PPK?

Riga FC II 2-1 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC II vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Riga FC II 43%, draw 28%, Leevon / PPK 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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