Grobina 2-2 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 11 May 2024

Grobina
2-2 HT 1-2
Auda
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
52%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.99
No
44%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
52%
Away Win
63%
-11.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
46%
+9.4pp
44%
BTTS No
54%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 67%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.31/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.02
+134% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
15.5 Crosses 16.9
5.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Auda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.74 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
275 Passes 348
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
29.09.2021 Grobina Grobina 1-5 HT 0-3 Auda Auda LET1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
2-2
AWAY Auda
1.37 xG 2.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 4
273 Passes 431
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina and Auda shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Auda at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grobina had 42% of the ball to Auda's 58%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 1.37 to 2.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Auda led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grobina and 3.00 for Auda.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Auda?

Grobina 2-2 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Grobina 23%, draw 25%, Auda 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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