Metta / LU Riga 3-0 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.6pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 34%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.31/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.53
-77% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
25.4 Crosses 13.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FS Jelgava
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 Passes 247
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
22.10.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
31.07.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
09.05.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-3 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
15.04.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 2-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
04.10.2020 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
3-0
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.46 xG 1.31
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
280 Passes 436
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga cruised past FS Jelgava 3-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Metta / LU Riga found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 41% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 59%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.46 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 1.17 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs FS Jelgava?

Metta / LU Riga 3-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated an FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 36%, draw 27%, FS Jelgava 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FS Jelgava), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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