Libertad 4-1 Sol De America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sol De America EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.98/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.65
+7% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sol De America
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2024 Sol De America Sol De America 1-2 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
17.08.2023 Sol De America Sol De America 0-3 HT 0-2 Libertad Libertad PARK
18.10.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
13.08.2022 Libertad Libertad 4-1 HT 1-1 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
22.06.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 0-3 HT 0-2 Libertad Libertad PAR
11.04.2022 Libertad Libertad 3-1 HT 2-1 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
4-1
AWAY Sol De America
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Sol De America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad swept aside Sol De America 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Libertad had 69% of the ball to Sol De America's 31%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Libertad and 0.67 for Sol De America.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Sol De America?

Libertad 4-1 Sol De America in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Sol De America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Libertad 53%, draw 24%, Sol De America 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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