Sol De America 1-2 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
57%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
57%
Away Win
60%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sol De America EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 64%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
0.84/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.82
-11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sol De America
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Libertad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2023 Sol De America Sol De America 0-3 HT 0-2 Libertad Libertad PARK
18.10.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
13.08.2022 Libertad Libertad 4-1 HT 1-1 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
22.06.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 0-3 HT 0-2 Libertad Libertad PAR
11.04.2022 Libertad Libertad 3-1 HT 2-1 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
18.10.2021 Sol De America Sol De America 0-4 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sol De America
1-2
AWAY Libertad
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sol De America vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad edged past Sol De America 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sol De America had 35% of the ball to Libertad's 65%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sol De America and 3.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sol De America vs Libertad?

Sol De America 1-2 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sol De America vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sol De America 20%, draw 23%, Libertad 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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