Stal Rzeszow 4-2 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
9%
8.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 29% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.6pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.59/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.93
+40% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Rzeszow
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Nieciecza
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-2 HT 1-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
06.06.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-0 HT 1-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
19.03.2023 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 2-2 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
20.08.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-1 HT 1-1 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Rzeszow
4-2
AWAY Nieciecza
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Stal Rzeszow vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Rzeszow got the better of Nieciecza 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Stal Rzeszow made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Stal Rzeszow had 46% of the ball to Nieciecza's 54%, shots finished 14-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nieciecza led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Stal Rzeszow and 1.75 for Nieciecza.

What was the final score of Stal Rzeszow vs Nieciecza?

Stal Rzeszow 4-2 Nieciecza in the Poland - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Rzeszow vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stal Rzeszow 38%, draw 24%, Nieciecza 38%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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