Wisla Krakow 3-4 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

Wisla Krakow
3-4 HT 2-2
Lechia Gdansk
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Wisla Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.24 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wisla Krakow v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.00/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.87
+30% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +65%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Wisla Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
304 Passes 258
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
28.09.2023 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 2-1 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POLK
05.03.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-1 HT 1-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
12.09.2021 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 2-2 HT 0-2 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
13.03.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
28.10.2020 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-3 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL

Wisla Krakow 3-4 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
3-4
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk nicked a narrow win over Wisla Krakow 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wisla Krakow at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 44% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 56%, shots finished 9-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.50 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk?

Wisla Krakow 3-4 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 45%, draw 25%, Lechia Gdansk 30%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wisla Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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