Ratchaburi 1-2 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.12/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.78
+10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.4 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Muang Thong United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
272 Passes 342
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-0 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
26.01.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
24.09.2021 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 1-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
1-2
AWAY Muang Thong United
0.91 xG 1.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
326 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United nicked a narrow win over Ratchaburi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Muang Thong United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 56% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 44%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.91 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.00 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Muang Thong United?

Ratchaburi 1-2 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 37%, draw 29%, Muang Thong United 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ratchaburi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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