Sukhothai 2-0 Police Tero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Police Tero EU Bookmakers 21%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.01/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.23
-49% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
44.0 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Police Tero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.53 xG 0.57
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
122 Passes 423
56% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-0 HT 0-0 Police Tero Police Tero TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
2-0
AWAY Police Tero
1.96 xG 0.45
37% Ball Possession 63%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
147 Passes 301
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Police Tero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai got the better of Police Tero 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sukhothai as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sukhothai had 37% of the ball to Police Tero's 63%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.96 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Police Tero?

Sukhothai 2-0 Police Tero in the Thailand - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Police Tero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sukhothai win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 53%, draw 24%, Police Tero 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sukhothai) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sukhothai) ✗ Over 2.5
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