Vorskla Poltava 2-3 Minai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.2pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Minai EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.93/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.04
+17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Minai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.11.2023 Minai Minai 0-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
08.05.2023 Minai Minai 2-0 HT 1-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
29.10.2022 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-0 HT 1-0 Minai Minai UKR
19.09.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-0 HT 1-0 Minai Minai UKR
12.12.2020 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-1 HT 0-1 Minai Minai UKR
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Minai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minai squeezed past Vorskla Poltava 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vorskla Poltava at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vorskla Poltava had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 0.60 for Minai.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Minai?

Vorskla Poltava 2-3 Minai in the Ukraine - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Minai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vorskla Poltava win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 45%, draw 31%, Minai 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) ✗ Under 2.5
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