Foshan Nanshi 1-3 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.9pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.6pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.03/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.70
+22% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.9 Crosses 14.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nanjing City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.50 xG 1.47
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
160 Passes 325
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
25.08.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-1 HT 1-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
13.04.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
06.04.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 3-2 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
06.08.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
30.04.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1-3
AWAY Nanjing City
1.40 xG 1.76
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
441 Passes 166
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City got the better of Foshan Nanshi 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 36% / 31% — and on the day Nanjing City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 69% of the ball to Nanjing City's 31%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.40 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nanjing City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.17 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Nanjing City?

Foshan Nanshi 1-3 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 33%, draw 36%, Nanjing City 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5
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