Yanbian Longding 2-0 Shaanxi Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 33% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.5pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.89/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.61
-8% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.1 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
2-0
AWAY Shaanxi Union
1.15 xG 0.62
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
189 Passes 259
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Shaanxi Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding got the better of Shaanxi Union 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shaanxi Union at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 43% of the ball to Shaanxi Union's 57%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.15 to 0.62.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Shaanxi Union?

Yanbian Longding 2-0 Shaanxi Union in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Shaanxi Union?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shaanxi Union win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 31%, draw 27%, Shaanxi Union 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shaanxi Union) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shaanxi Union) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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