Tianjin Teda 0-1 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
24%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
22%
3.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 22% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
35%
3.17
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
9%
5.4
X/2
9%
6.56
X/X
10%
5.32
2/1
9%
23.75
2/2
10%
4.27
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 1/1 at 3.17 — our 35% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
42%
+11.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
24%
Away Win
32%
-8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.2pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 36%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.95/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.62
-1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.7 Crosses 21.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.06.2024 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1-1 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
0-1
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
0.69 xG 1.97
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
384 Passes 134
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
23 Box Touches 26
41 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun edged past Tianjin Teda 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tianjin Teda at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 68% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 32%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 0.69 to 1.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Yunnan Yukun's control.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Yunnan Yukun?

Tianjin Teda 0-1 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 53%, draw 23%, Yunnan Yukun 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tianjin Teda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✓ BTTS No
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