Changchun YaTai 0-1 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
4.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
7%
8.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.04 — our 32% vs market 18.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.09
1/2
4%
21.85
1/X
4%
14.05
X/1
8%
8.54
X/2
10%
4.73
X/X
11%
5.48
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
34%
2.44
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.4pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 55%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.06/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.34
-32% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
14.0 Crosses 27.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
277 Passes 280
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
26.05.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
29.10.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
03.07.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 3-1 HT 2-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
11.07.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 6-2 HT 3-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
20.06.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
0-1
AWAY Henan Jianye
0.72 xG 1.57
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 11
174 Passes 366
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye nicked a narrow win over Changchun YaTai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 36% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 64%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.72 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Changchun YaTai and 1.33 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Henan Jianye?

Changchun YaTai 0-1 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 28%, draw 24%, Henan Jianye 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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