Graffin Vlasim 1-1 Varnsdorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.86/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.01
+30% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Graffin Vlasim
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Varnsdorf
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-2 HT 1-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
02.03.2024 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 0-0 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
02.08.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-3 HT 2-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
22.04.2023 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 2-2 HT 2-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
02.10.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-1 HT 1-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
02.04.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-0 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Graffin Vlasim
1-1
AWAY Varnsdorf
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Graffin Vlasim vs Varnsdorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Graffin Vlasim and Varnsdorf shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Graffin Vlasim at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Graffin Vlasim had 63% of the ball to Varnsdorf's 37%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Graffin Vlasim had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Graffin Vlasim and 1.50 for Varnsdorf.

What was the final score of Graffin Vlasim vs Varnsdorf?

Graffin Vlasim 1-1 Varnsdorf in the Czech Republic - FNL on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Graffin Vlasim vs Varnsdorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Graffin Vlasim win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Graffin Vlasim 41%, draw 25%, Varnsdorf 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Graffin Vlasim), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Graffin Vlasim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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