Slovan Liberec 1-0 Bohemians 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
8.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 29% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +27%
1.70/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.64
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.5 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Bohemians 1905
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
295 Passes 183
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
25 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 4-1 HT 3-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
23.02.2025 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
22.09.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-2 HT 2-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
13.12.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
06.08.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
05.03.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-3 HT 0-2 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
1-0
AWAY Bohemians 1905
1.57 xG 0.13
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
332 Passes 159
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
39 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec edged past Bohemians 1905 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slovan Liberec as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 64% of the ball to Bohemians 1905's 36%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 1.57 to 0.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Slovan Liberec's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians 1905 led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Slovan Liberec and 1.67 for Bohemians 1905.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905?

Slovan Liberec 1-0 Bohemians 1905 in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 42%, draw 27%, Bohemians 1905 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Liberec), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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