IF Karlstad 4-1 Stocksund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.0pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+12.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.7pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Stocksund EU Bookmakers 15%
-25% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.98/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/3.29
-15% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Stocksund
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Stocksund Stocksund 4-1 HT 1-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
18.05.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-1 HT 0-1 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
12.11.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-0 HT 0-0 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
01.04.2023 Stocksund Stocksund 0-3 HT 0-2 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
4-1
AWAY Stocksund
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Stocksund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad ran out comfortable winners over Stocksund 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IF Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 59% of the ball to Stocksund's 41%, shots finished 23-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for IF Karlstad and 1.25 for Stocksund.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Stocksund?

IF Karlstad 4-1 Stocksund in the Sweden - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Stocksund?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 55%, draw 21%, Stocksund 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IF Karlstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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