Como (K) 3-1 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.84/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.35
+15% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
30.6 Crosses 14.2
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Napoli (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.40 xG 1.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 Passes 238
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
09.02.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 4-2 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
10.11.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
27.04.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
17.03.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
11.10.2023 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 6-3 Como (K) Como (K) İTKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
3-1
AWAY Napoli (K)
0.98 xG 2.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
295 Passes 497
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 35
6 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) saw off Napoli (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Como (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Como (K) had 39% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 61%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.98 to 2.38 — on chances, Napoli (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Como (K) and 2.00 for Napoli (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Como (K) 3-1 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 51%, draw 27%, Napoli (K) 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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