Sassuolo (K) 4-2 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.7
No
60%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
68%
-2.2pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.3pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
55%
-14.9pp
60%
BTTS No
45%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.01/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.66
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
22.8 Crosses 10.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.15 xG 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 Passes 209
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2025 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 2-5 HT 0-2 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
09.02.2025 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
09.11.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
17.02.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
4-2
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
2.62 xG 1.09
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
332 Passes 143
75% Pass Accuracy 54%
26 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) beat Sampdoria (K) 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassuolo (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 63% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 37%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.62 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sassuolo (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 0.50 for Sampdoria (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 4-2 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 66%, draw 18%, Sampdoria (K) 16%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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