Sassuolo (K) 3-0 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+10.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.80/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.92
+27% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
23.7 Crosses 19.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.56 xG 0.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
417 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
34 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
3-0
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
2.31 xG 0.64
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 204
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) cruised past Sampdoria (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sassuolo (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 55% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 45%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.31 to 0.64.

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 3-0 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 42%, draw 25%, Sampdoria (K) 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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