Sassuolo (K) 2-0 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-13.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+34% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
37.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
2-0
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
1.56 xG 0.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
417 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
34 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) got the better of Sampdoria (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sassuolo (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 58% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 42%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.56 to 0.22.

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 2-0 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 45%, draw 29%, Sampdoria (K) 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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