Roma (K) 1-0 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.9pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.4pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.13/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.31
+107% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -56%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
25.6 Crosses 12.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.98 xG 0.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
449 Passes 287
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
19.05.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 5-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
20.04.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
17.02.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
1-0
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.45 xG 1.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
309 Passes 372
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) nicked a narrow win over Fiorentina (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Roma (K) had 48% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 52%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.45 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Roma (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roma (K) and 0.00 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Roma (K) 1-0 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 60%, draw 20%, Fiorentina (K) 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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