Fiorentina (K) 0-0 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
64%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.43
Over 2.5
45%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
45%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+2.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
64%
Away Win
67%
-3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+17.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-17.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.4pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.9
Crosses 17.8
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Roma (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.45 xG 2.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
309 Passes 419
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 13
17.02.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
0-0
AWAY Roma (K)
0.70 xG 0.97
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
287 Passes 465
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) and Roma (K) played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Roma (K) at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 41% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 59%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.70 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Roma (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 0-0 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 16%, draw 20%, Roma (K) 64%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Roma (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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