Juventus (K) 2-1 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-7.1pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.1pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+4.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.97/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.05
+92% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
476 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 79%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
23.2 Crosses 10.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.22 xG 0.43
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
399 Passes 231
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
42 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
21.01.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus (K)
2-1
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.21 xG 0.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
344 Passes 245
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) nicked a narrow win over Sassuolo (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juventus (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juventus (K) had 55% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 45%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.21 to 0.17.

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Juventus (K) 2-1 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 66%, draw 19%, Sassuolo (K) 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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